The New York Giants pick David Wilson in the first round of the NFL Draft, RB from Virginia Tech

By Richard K. Barry

A couple of days ago, the NFL college draft began. Indy took Andrew Luck, as everyone knew they would. Washington took RG III, as everyone knew they would.

Then all the way at the bottom of the first round, the last pick, which is what you get for winning the Super Bowl, the Giants picked a running back from Virginia Tech.

David Wilson may end up being great for them. It's impossible to tell. It's impossible to know if Luck and Griffin will live up to expectations, which are ridiculously high for both of them.

The single most interesting thing about the NFL draft is how hard it is to predict success in the pro league.

Lots of hype, though, thanks to things like the NFL Network, a bit too much, actually.

Much as I love football, I tend to ignore the draft. There's just too much that has to happen before anything that happens on draft day can be seen as momentous.

Repeat after me: Tom Brady, one of the best professional quarterbacks of all time, was drafted #199 in the 2000 NFL Draft behind a number of other college quarterbacks you've never heard of. I could make a very long list of former first rounders you've never heard of.

I'm a New York Giants fan. I hope their first round pick works out, but I have no expectation that it will. Good luck to him. Good luck to all of them.

(Cross-posted at Lippmann's Ghost.)